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2007 mid-term electionsEdit

Legislative elections and local elections are to be held in the Philippines on May 14, 2007. The 2007 elections requires that the House and Senate races be viewed as two halves of a whole: an opposition win in both houses is a negative referendum on the administration. An administration win in one house means a continuation of the 2004-present status quo. An administration victory in both houses means a positive referendum on the administration.

I. The big picture: Reference maps

A. Regional Map (Wikipedia) See my blog entry for July 16, 2005 for the following breakdown, regionally:

The administration can claim, based on the official results, the Cordillera Administrative Region, Western Visayas; Central Visayas; CARAGA; furthermore, she has Ilocos Sur (thanks to Chavit Singson) and Pampanga (presumably). As for the other regions, they could be viewed as neutral.

The opposition (Poe-Estrada camp) can claim the Proberz survey indicates the opposition bailiwicks: “Regions II, III, IV-A, IV-B, VIII, IX, XII, Metro Manila, and the ARMM”, that is, the Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Eastern Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Davao Region, Metro Manila, and the ARMM.

B. Presidential Election Results Map (Wikipedia)

C. Provincial government Support Map (Inq7.net)

II. The House of Representatives

See this Wikipedia list for the party divisions in the House at present.

Focus on Provincial Contests for May, 2007

Focus on City Contests for May, 2007

Opposition goal: 80 pro-impeachment Administration goal:

(House of Representatives representation list based on Wikipedia)

III. The Senate of the Philippines

Senate survey results and pro- and anti-impeachment ratings

Opposition goal: 8 pro-impeachment Administration goal: 5 administration-friendly

On October 29, 2007 Local elections will also be held. This time is for the Barangay Captain and 7 councilors and the Sanguniang Kabataan and 6 councilors.

See alsoEdit

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